There’s a new betting market with the month that Starmer exits this year.
A 2026 exit seems inevitable for Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
The Labour leader’s approval rating continues to plummet with the Mandelson-Epstein scandal looking likely to be the final nail in the coffin.
The bookmakers’ have priced up which month Starmer will leave in; an imminent exit before the start of April is 7/2 cut from 12/1.
50% of punters backed Starmer to be replaced as Labour leader before the end of March.
British Politics – Keir Starmer Labour Leadership Exit Date Betting Odds
| Starmer departure month | Odds | Implied win percentage |
| April – June | 7/4 | 36% |
| 2027 or later | 9/4 | 31% |
| January – March | 7/2 | 22% |
| July – September | 5/1 | 17% |
| October – December | 16/1 | 6% |
British Politics – Keir Starmer Labour Leadership Exit Date betting split (last 24 hours)
| Starmer departure month | Percentage of bets placed |
| January – March | 50% |
| April – June | 24% |
| October – December | 11% |
| 2027 or later | 9% |
| July – September | 6% |
Oddschecker spokesman Chris Rogers stated, “Punters have piled in on Keir Starmer for an imminent departure.
“The Labour leader is 7/2 cut from 12/1 to exit before the end of March. Half of all bets placed over the last 24 hours expect the under-fire Prime Minister to be relieved of his duties before we reach April.”
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