Betfair punters are backing for Boris Johnson to stand firm for now and not fall on his sword this month, giving him just an 11% chance of resigning in January.
Rishi Sunak is the 13/8 favourite to replace Johnson as the Conservative party leader, with Liz Truss his nearest challenger at 11/4.
Betfair – Boris Johnson Exit date
2022 – 4/7
2023 – 7/1
2024 or later – 3/1
Betfair – Will Boris Johnson resign before the end of January 31st?
Yes 11% (15/2)
No 90% (1/9)
Betfair – Next Conservative leader after Boris Johnson
Rishi Sunak 13/8
Liz Truss 11/4
Jeremy Hunt 11/2
Michael Gove 6/1
Penny Mordaunt 10/1
Priti Patel, Sajid Javid, Oliver Dowden 14/1
Tom Tugendhat 16/1
Johnny Mercer 20/1
Rory Stewart, Ruth Davidson, James Cleverly, Dominic Raab 25/1
Jacob Rees-Mogg, Geoffrey Cox, Gavin Williamson, Steve Baker, Kwasi Kwarteng 33/1
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said, “Punters don’t think Boris Johnson will fall on his sword any time soon and Betfair’s latest market gives him just an 11% chance of resigning in January. However Johnsons’s chances of seeing out the year are much slimmer, and 2022 is the odds-on 4/7 favourite to be the year that he steps down as party leader.
“Rishi Sunak is the 13/8 favourite to upgrade No11 to No10 and replace Johnson as the leader of the Conservative party, with Lizz Truss next at 11/4 and then Jeremy Hunt at 11/2.”