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Potential ‘electoral extinction’ for the Conservatives

by LLB political Reporter
17th Jun 24 8:12 am

The Conservative Party (21%) has recorded their lowest ever vote share in a Savanta poll under the leadership of Rishi Sunak, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta for the Sunday Telegraph.

The last time the Conservative vote share was this low in a Savanta (formerly ComRes) poll was 10-12 May 2019, shortly before Theresa May announced her resignation as party leader. At that time, the Conservatives (20%) were level with the Brexit Party (20%).

The poll, conducted this week (12-14 June) sees the Labour Party on 46% of the vote, giving them a 25-point lead, their largest since October 2022, the end of Liz Truss’ premiership.

Reform UK (13%) has recorded their highest vote share in a Savanta poll since party’s official creation in January 2021, while the Liberal Democrats also increased their share by two-points since Savanta’s last poll.

As postal votes begin to land on doorsteps early next week, Conservatives are warned that “this election could be nothing short of electoral extinction” for the party, with a “real sense that things could still get worse for the Conservatives”.

Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “Our research suggests that this election could be nothing short of electoral extinction for the Conservative Party. The hopes of Conservative candidates are being shot to pieces by poll after poll showing the Conservative Party in increasingly dire straits – and we’re only halfway through the campaign.”

“There’s a real sense that things could still get worse for the Conservatives, and with postal votes about to drop through millions of letterboxes, time is already close to running out for Rishi Sunak.”

“Our latest voting intention does imply good news for everyone else. Labour has their largest lead since October 2022 – the doldrums of Liz Truss’ premiership – with Reform UK on their highest vote share in a Savanta poll since their official creation.”

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