Conservatives set for heavy defeats in by-elections

The Conservatives could be set to lose three seats in Parliament according to Betfair Exchange odds that have the Tories huge outsiders for each of the three by-elections taking place on Thursday.

Boris Johnson’s former constituency, Uxbridge and South Ruislip, is 1/8 to go into the hands of Labour, while Selby and Ainsty is 1/6 to turn red and the Liberal Democrats are 1/33 to claim Somerton and Frome.

There’s further worry for the Conservatives as they are big 9/1 outsiders to win a majority at the next election, with Labour 1/2 to claim enough seats to control the Commons.

Betfair Exchange – July by-election odds

Selby and Ainsty

Labour 1/6

Conservatives 5/1

Somerton and Frome

Lib Dems 1/33

Conservatives 20/1

Uxbridge and South Ruislip

Labour 1/8

Conservatives 15/2

Next general election overall majority

Labour majority 1/2

No overall majority 3/1

Conservative majority 9/1

Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “This week’s by-election results will be a real test of Rishi Sunak’s resolve as the odds predict his party will lose all three seats in Thursday’s vote.

“The results of the by-elections may be a sign of things to come for Sunak and the Conservatives, as Labour are the clear 1/2 favourites to win a majority at the next election, with the Tories 9/1 outsiders to cling onto control of the House.”