The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has warned that Russia can reconstitute itself as a serious threat to Ukraine, despite Vladimir Putin’s forces are having serious issues on the frontline.
NATO and the US have been told by the ISW that they must not underestimate Russian capabilities in the “long run.”
In the ISW report they emphasised that in the long term Russian capabilities “can regenerate by leveraging its population and defense industrial base (DIB)” this would therefore end up as a threat to Ukraine and NATO.
The ISW report states, “can regenerate by leveraging its population and defense industrial base (DIB) to threaten Ukraine and NATO if Russian President Vladimir Putin decides to fundamentally change Russia’s strategic resource allocation over the long run.
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“The Kremlin has not yet undertaken the necessary reorganization of its war effort to effectively leverage economies of scale to support large-scale Russian force generation.
“The Kremlin’s decision to continue relying on financially incentivizing voluntary recruits with both one-time payments and accrued lifetime benefits will create large long-term structural costs and will not be sustainable indefinitely.”
They added that Moscow are unable to conduct several offensive operations at the same time, “Russian forces deployed unspecified Russian forces from the Avdiyivka area of operations to reinforce offensive operations around Bakhmut and that Russia has lost about 4,000 Wagner and conventional personnel in Bakhmut since around March 30.”
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said that over the past two weeks that almost 4,500 Wagner mercenaries and Russian army troops have been killed and wounded.
The city of Bakhmut has been the centre of some of the most intense fighting since the war started on 24 February 2022.
In the area of Bakhmut, the enemy lost almost 4,500 Wagner fighters and regular army soldiers killed and wounded in two weeks.
Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Brigadier General Oleksiy Hromov said that every day they carry out around 40 to 50 assault attempts.
Leaked US Top Secret files have also revealed that Russia has suffered around 223,000 casualties, with 43,000 killed in action and around 180,000 troops having been wounded in the war.
In a briefing on Thursday Hromov said, “To date, Bakhmut direction remains the most difficult, where the enemy continues offensive actions in the central part of the town of Bakhmut, as well as in the direction of Bohdanivka and Ivankivske settlements in order to surround the city from the north and south.
“In order to strengthen the offensive potential, a part of the enemy’s forces and means has been moved to Bakhmut area from Avdiyivka direction.
“Every day in the area of Bakhmut, he carries out from 40 to 50 attempts of offensive assault actions, more than 500 attacks using the full range of available weapons.”
The General Staff, said that the military-political leadership of the Russian Federation do not pay any attention to their significant losses as more than 200,000 of their troops have either been killed or severely wounded in Ukraine.
Hromov added, “over the past two weeks in Bakhmut area, the enemy has lost almost 4,500 Wagner fighters and soldiers of the regular army of the Russian Federation killed and wounded.”