Iran has warned that the fragile pause in hostilities with the United States is increasingly unsustainable, raising fears that the Middle East could once again tip into open conflict as tensions continue to escalate across the Gulf.
A senior Iranian lawmaker said there was effectively “no ceasefire” with Washington, describing the current situation as only a temporary lull in fighting rather than a stable truce.
The comments, reported by Iranian media outlets, suggest hardliners in Tehran believe the confrontation with the US remains active beneath the surface.
Vahid Ahmadi, a member of Iran’s parliament’s national security and foreign policy committee, wrote X: “This is a fact that we do not have a ceasefire with America. In reality, we are in a pause in the fighting.”
He then warned that ” there is a possibility of a new war.”
The warning comes amid continued exchanges of fire in the region, including reported drone and missile activity linked to Iranian forces and US military responses over the Strait of Hormuz. Several projectiles were intercepted over the weekend near Bahrain and Kuwait, with Iranian officials claiming US-linked facilities were among the intended targets.
Washington has maintained that its forces have responded to threats in the region, including shooting down Iranian drones and striking surveillance infrastructure it alleges is being used to monitor maritime activity in the Gulf.
Despite an uneasy understanding between the two sides following weeks of talks, the arrangement appears increasingly fragile, with both Tehran and Washington accusing each other of violations.
Iran has also indicated it has developed new military capabilities, while warning that further escalation cannot be ruled out. US officials, meanwhile, continue to press for a broader diplomatic deal aimed at stabilising the situation and containing the risk of wider regional spillover.
The crisis has already had significant economic consequences, with disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz driving volatility in global energy markets. The waterway remains one of the world’s most strategically important trade routes, handling a substantial share of global oil and gas flows.
Concerns are growing that any breakdown in the current arrangement could trigger a renewed escalation not only between Iran and the United States, but also across a wider network of regional conflicts involving allied and proxy forces.
Diplomatic efforts to stabilise the situation remain ongoing, but officials privately acknowledge that the risk of miscalculation is high, and that even limited incidents could rapidly spiral into a broader confrontation.
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