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Microbiologist warns millions could catch Covid-19 between March and June

by LLB Reporter
7th Mar 20 12:22 pm

A leading microbiologist has warned coronavirus could peak by Easter and millions could be infected between March and June.

Microbiologist Peter Piot has said the threat is not over hyped as cases appear to be doubling each week and has suggested there are most likely a few thousand in the UK who already have coronavirus.

Dr Piot told The Times newspaper the UK will see a peak of the epidemic around Easter, the microbiologist said, “if it goes down in April or May it could come back again in November.”

Dr Piot added, “We have cases across Europe, across the world, this is a global epidemic and we would expect to see more cases in the UK.

“We’ve got a reasonable worst-case scenario… that involves 80% of the population and we think the mortality rate is one per cent or lower. I expect it to be less than that.

“It takes about 12 weeks to reach the peak then maybe about 12 weeks to go away again.

“You expect about 90% of cases in the nine weeks in the middle of that and 50% of cases in the three weeks of the middle of that.”

He further warned that the virus will return next winter as there is currently no vaccine and that “medieval ways of containment” are currently being used.

Under new government guidelines to tackle the rise of the coronavirus outbreak, elderly people will be told to stay at home.

Government sources have said the elderly need to be prepared for “social distancing” policies, which are to be announced next week in parliament.

The Department for Health has warned that the elderly could be “cut off” from the world as advice will be to stay clear of crowded areas and stay at home.

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