Yep Starmer 1/8 to go in 2026 now with 83% of bets (last hour).
A damning condemnation from Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar has left Keir Starmer on the brink.
The Prime Minister is as short as 1/8 to exit this year with a colossal 83% of bets backing Starmer to leave in 2026.
Sarwar held a last minute press conference on Monday afternoon, the Scottish leader said, “The distraction needs to end and the leadership in Downing Street has to change.”
He said, “That’s why the distraction needs to end, and the leadership in Downing Street has to change… We cannot allow the failures at the heart of Downing Street to mean the failures continue here in Scotland.
“I have to be honest about failure wherever I see it – the situation in Downing Street is not good enough
“There have been too many mistakes. They promised they were going to be different, but too much has happened.
“Keir Starmer is a decent man, and it’s no secret I have always got on with him and he’s dedicated his life to public service.
“The people of Scotland are crying out for competent government… they want to see leaders that put the national interest before themselves.”
British Politics – Keir Starmer Exit Date betting odds
| Starmer departure year | Odds | Implied win percentage |
| 2026 | 1/8 | 89% |
| 2027 | 7/1 | 13% |
| 2029 or later | 9/1 | 10% |
| 2028 | 11/1 | 8% |
British Politics – Keir Starmer Exit Date betting split (last hour)
| Starmer departure year | Percentage of bets placed |
| 2026 | 83% |
| 2029 or later | 8% |
| 2027 | 7% |
| 2028 | 3% |
Oddschecker spokesman Chris Rogers stated, “Following calls to resign from Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar, Keir Starmer’s odds on a 2026 departure have shortened even further to just 1/8.
The Prime Ministers approval rating is at an all-time low with a whopping 83% of bettors anticipating an unceremonious exit before the end of the year.”





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