A leading Russian analyst has claimed that Vladamir Putin is considering five possible scenarios for the Ukraine and the West.
Andrei Ostalski has said that Putin has not decided which of the five scenarios he will chose, but was between Russian and Ukraine is “highly likely” as more than 100,000 troops are on the border.
Ostalski told BBC The Nine, “The first question of yours deals with the possible scenarios and as I understand it Mr Putin hasn’t decided himself which one of the five I am being told he is going to choose.
“So the first scenario will be impossibly an attempt by the Russian intelligence services to stage a coup d’etat.
“In Ukraine with the help of significant fifth column inside the political-military institutions in Ukraine.
“And then Mr Putin can play it by ear deciding by what kind of a force, or if at all he has to go to campaign to help so that this conspiracy to succeed.
Ostalski added, “The second scenario is sort of really really frightening and I think it’s kind of a bluff that they found Russian deputies and political commentators openly discussing now that if push comes to shove then Mr Putin will be prepared even to bring the world through the brink of nuclear armageddon.
“But I think it is more as I said, it’s probably an unlikely development.”
Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Monday, “Invading Ukraine from a Russian perspective is going to be a painful violent and bloody business.
“And I think it’s very important that people in Russia understand that this could be a new Chechnya, I’ve been to Ukraine several times.
“I know the people of that country a bit, and my judgement is that they will fight and really that is not the way the world should be going.
“And I hope that they understand that in the Kremlin, but it’s the job of the UK to make sure our friends and partners around the world particularly in Europe, also understand that we get ready a tough enough package of sanctions.”