Despite winning Monday’s vote of confidence by 211-148, Boris Johnson is odds-on at 4/9 to not be the Prime Minister at the next General Election.
2022 remains the favourite year for Boris Johnson to leave No.10 at 7/5 on Betfair Exchange. The Conservatives are 3/1 to win a majority at the next General Election, having previously been as short as 8/11.
Jeremy Hunt, who urged Tory MPs to vote against Johnson earlier on Monday, is the 4/1 favourite to succeed him as Conservative leader.
Betfair Exchange: Boris Johnson exit date
2024 or later: 11/5
Betfair Exchange: Boris Johnson to be Conservative leader at the next General Election
Betfair Exchange: Overall Majority at the next General Election
No Overall Majority: 4/5
Conservative Majority: 3/1 (was 11/8)
Labour Majority: 4/1
Betfair Exchange: Next Conservative leader after Boris Johnson
Jeremy Hunt: 4/1
Penny Mordaunt: 6/1
Liz Truss: 13/2
Tom Tugendhat: 7/1
Rishi Sunak: 10/1
Ben Wallace: 9/1
Nadhim Zahawi: 13/1
Sajid Javid: 19/1
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said, “Despite winning Monday’s vote of confidence by 211-148, odds on Betfair Exchange suggest time is running out for the Prime Minister, with him odds-on at 4/9 to leave No.10 by the next General Election. Meanwhile, 2022 remains the favourite year for Boris Johnson to go at 7/5.
“Jeremy Hunt, who called for Johnson to go earlier on Monday, is the 4/1 favourite to replace his colleague as Conservative leader, while Penny Mordaunt follows behind at 6/1 with Liz Truss 13/2.”