The race to succeed Dame Cressida Dick as the next Metropolitan Police Commissioner is wide open, according to early odds from the Smarkets betting exchange.
Martin Hewitt, chair of the National Police Chiefs’ Council, is the initial favourite with a 29% chance of landing the top job (5/2 in traditional odds).
Former head of anti-terrorism Neil Basu is second in the betting, rated as a 19% chance.
Assistant Commissioner Louisa Rolfe is the highest placed female challenger to succeed Dick, at 8%.
Other names near the top of the market are former head of counter-terrorism Mark Rowley, acting head of counter-terrorism Matt Jukes, and Essex Police’s Chief Constable Ben Julian-Harrington.
Matthew Shaddick, Smarkets Head of Political Markets said, “This is a hard contest to call, with much depending on the personal judgment of Home Secretary Priti Patel. Martin Hewitt’s previous experience at the Met will help but he hasn’t seen eye to eye with Patel on other issues.
“Neil Basu was one of the favourites to get the top job back in 2017 before losing out to Cressida Dick but has been involved in a few controversial incidents in the meantime. He is one of the more high-profile candidates in the frame and is being tipped up by several Met-watchers.”