Home Business News Betfair: Johnson has 38% chance of facing vote of no confidence in February after a ‘string of resignations’

Betfair: Johnson has 38% chance of facing vote of no confidence in February after a ‘string of resignations’

by LLB political Reporter
4th Feb 22 12:02 pm

According to the Betfair Barometer, which takes odds from Betfair Exchange to generate a percentage chance, Boris Johnson’s likelihood of facing a vote of no confidence in February is 38%.

This is a 9% increase this week following a number of high-profile resignations from his team.

As the chances of a vote of no confidence increase, so does the likelihood of Johnson resigning this month as the chances of him going before the end of February have now doubled overnight to 30% (12/5) on the Betfair Barometer.

The Chancellor Rishi Sunak remains the strong favourite at 13/8 to replace Johnson as the next Conservative leader, while Liz Truss is 5/1 and Jeremy Hunt is 6/1

 

Betfair Exchange – Will Boris Johnson face a No Confidence vote in 2022?

Yes 38% (11/8) – was 29% (9/4)

No 62% (5/8)

Betfair Exchange – Will Boris Johnson resign before the end of February 28th?

Yes 30% (12/5)

No 73% (4/11)

Betfair Exchange – Next Conservative leader after Boris Johnson

Rishi Sunak 13/8

Liz Truss 5/1

Jeremy Hunt 6/1

Tom Tugendhat 7/1

Penny Mordaunt 10/1

Sajid Javid 14/1

Michael Gove 14/1

Nadhim Zahawi 20/1

Dominic Raab 25/1

Ben Wallace 25/1

Priti Patel 33/1

 

Betfair Exchange spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said, “A string of resignations from Boris Johnson’s team has prompted punters to back him to face a vote of no confidence and the Betfair Barometer gives him a 38% chance (odds of 11/8) of facing the wrath of his peers before the end of February, a 9% increase from the start of the week.

“The chances of the PM resigning in February have doubled and the Betfair Barometer gives Johnson a 30% (12/5) chance of joining the revolving door at Downing Street.

“Punters on Betfair Exchange are backing Rishi Sunak to swap No11 for No10 and he’s the clear 13/5 favourite to replace Johnson, ahead of Liz Truss who is next at 5/1 and Jeremy Hunt is 6/1.”

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