The Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s odds of stepping down as Conservative leader in 2022 have drifted to 7/4 from 5/4 earlier this week following the local election results.
2024 or later is now the most likely departure date for Johnson at 6/5, while 2023 is 9/2, whilst the Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is the 13/2 favourite to replace Johnson as the Conservative leader should he resign.
Jeremy Hunt and Tom Tugendhat are next at 15/2 and in the next election, no overall majority is the most likely outcome at 5/6, with a Conservative majority 13/5 and Labour 4/1.
Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson exit date
2022 7/4 (was 5/4)
2024 or later 6/5
Betfair Exchange – Next Conservative leader
Liz Truss 13/2
Jeremy Hunt, Tom Tugendhat 15/2
Ben Wallace, Penny Mordaunt 10/1
Rishi Sunak 15/1
Nadhim Zahawi 19/1
Sajid Javid 22/1
Michael Gove 25/1
Dominic Raab 30/1
Priti Patel, Steve Baker 40/1
Betfair Exchange – Next general election overall majority
No overall majority 5/6
Conservative majority 13/5
Labour Majority 4/1
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said, “Boris Johnson’s chances of seeing out the year have seen a rare improvement this week as the odds on him vacating No10 have drifted to 7/4 from 6/5 following the early local election results.
“Liz Truss is the 13/2 favourite to replace Johnson as party leader when he steps down, but whoever is in charge has plenty of work to do with no overall majority the most likely outcome at the next general election at 5/6.”