The government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) have warned the R number in the UK has risen between 0.9 and 1.1.
There has been an estimated increase in the range of the virus between 0.8 to 1.0 last week and two weeks ago the range was 0.8 to 0.9.
The R number measures how many people can infect another person on average. Last week there was an increase between -4% and -1%, which has now increased to -3% +1%.
SAGE have said this indicates that new infection are falling between 3% are rising by 1% daily. However, they say the most likely value is perhaps in the middle range.
Experts also warn that there is high degree of uncertainty over the estimated figures. In England the R number is estimated to be between 0.9 and 1.0, whilst the growth rate of coronavirus is -3% to 0%.
Scotland could now be above 1 according to Nicola Sturgeon and Northern Ireland’s R number has surged to 1.6, igniting tighter lockdown restrictions this week.