Home Business News Betfair: Boris chances of being PM for 2022 Tory Conference fall from 75% to 57% after another alleged lockdown breach

Betfair: Boris chances of being PM for 2022 Tory Conference fall from 75% to 57% after another alleged lockdown breach

by LLB political Reporter
11th Jan 22 12:44 pm

Boris Johnson’s odds to be Prime Minister for the 2022 Conservative Conference have drifted from 1/3 to 8/11 on Betfair Exchange since news broke over another alleged No 10 garden party.

This “BYOB” happened during the height of the first lockdown on 20 May 2020 which has now given Johnson just a 57% chance of being leader at the party’s conference.

Johnson is now 11/10 not to be Prime Minister for the 2022 Conservative Conference, 2022 is the 11/8 favourite to be the year that Johnson’s time as Prime Minister comes to an end, with 2023 5/1 and 2024 or later 8/5.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak is currently the 15/8 favourite to be the next Conservative Leader with Liz Truss next at 11/4.

The Conservative Party are 15/8 to win a majority at the next General Election with Labour minority next at 3/1.

Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said, “Boris Johnson’s leaving drinks could be right around the corner after another supposed breach in lockdown rules have seen his odds massively drift from 1/3 to 8/11 to be Prime Minister for the 2022 Conservative Conference.

“Looking at his replacements, Rishi Sunak is the 15/8 favourite to succeed Johnson, while Liz Truss is 11/4 and Michael Gove is 6/1.”

Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson PM for 2022 Conservative Conference?

Yes 8/11 (was 1/3)

No 11/10

Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson exit date

2022 11/10

2023 5/1

2024 or later 8/5

Betfair Exchange – Next Conservative Leader after Boris Johnson

Rishi Sunak 15/8

Liz Truss 11/4

Michael Gove 6/1

Jeremy Hunt 8/1

Priti Patel, Sajid Javid, Oliver Dowden 14/1

Tom Tugendhat, Penny Mordaunt 16/1

Betfair Exchange – Government after next election (first new Cabinet)

Conservatives majority 15/8

Labour minority 3/1

Conservative minority 3/1

Labour majority 11/2

Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson exit date

2022 11/10

2023 5/1

2024 or later 8/5

The former Tory attorney general Dominic Grieve has blasted Boris Johnson and said he has “told a series of untruths” and he should be removed from office.

Grieve who is a QC and also served as Shadow Home Secretary said that the Conservative Party would be better off if Johnson was removed as Prime Minister.

Grieve said that the public has “little trust” in Johnson and then delivered a blistering attack, he said, “The difficulty we have here is that we have a prime minister who’s effectively a serial liar.”

“My impression is that there are many MPs who are deeply unhappy about him, but the difficulty is that replacing a Prime Minister requires courage, it requires the upheaval that goes with it, and it requires the coordination necessary to get him removed.”

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