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The rise of the robots will put more than 900,000 London jobs at risk – but the capital is well placed to attract the new jobs technology will bring

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Study shows 

Cities Outlook 2018 is the Centre’s annual health-check on the performance of UK city economies (published today). The report focuses this year on the potential impact of automation and globalisation in driving both jobs growth and job losses in British cities over the coming decades.

It reveals that 1 in 5 existing jobs in British cities are likely to be displaced by 2030 as a result of automation and globalisation – amounting to 3.6m jobs in total – with retail occupations, customer service roles and warehouse jobs among those most at threat.

The report shows that around 16 per cent of existing jobs in London are likely to be displaced by 2030, amounting to around 907,800 jobs in total. However, this is one of the lowest shares of jobs at risk in any British city:

Top 10 British cities least at risk of job losses resulting from automation and globalisation (rank out of 62 British cities)

Rank City Share of jobs likely to be lost by 2030 Share of residents who voted for Brexit Average weekly workplace wages in 2017
1 Oxford 13% 30% (60/62) £600 (7/62)
2 Cambridge 13% 26% (61/62) £609 (5/62)
3 Reading 15% 43% (52/62) £655 (2/62)
4 Worthing 16% 53% (42/62) £455 (55/62)
5 London 16% 42% (53/62) £727 (1/62)
6 Edinburgh 18% 26% (62/62) £598 (8/62)
7 Brighton 19% 36% (58/62) £496 (37/62)
8 Blackpool 19% 63% (14/62) £500 (33/62)
9 York 19% 42% (54/62) £501 (32/62)
10 Portsmouth 19% 59% ( 18/62) £520 (21/62)
  Britain average 21% 52% £539

In contrast, the cities with the highest shares of jobs at risk are mostly struggling cities in the North and Midlands – many of which were among the places which voted most strongly in favour of leaving the EU:

Top 10 British cities most at risk of job losses resulting from automation and globalisation (rank out of 62 British cities)

Rank City Share of jobs likely to be lost by 2030 Share of residents who voted for Brexit  Average weekly workplace wages in 2017
1 Mansfield 29% 70% (1/62) £472 (48/62)
2 Sundersland 29% 61% (15/62) £484 (41/62)
3 Wakefield 29% 66% (7/62) £483 (42/62)
4 Stoke 28% 67% (6/62) £455 (53/62)
5 Doncaster 27% 69% (2/62) £447 (58/62)
6 Blackburn 26% 56% (29/62) £488 (39/62)
7 Northampton 26% 58% (22/62) £508 (25/62)
8 Dundee 25% 40% (55/62) £503 (28/62)
9 Huddersfield 25% 55% (34/62) £424 (61/62)
10 Telford 25% 63% (13/62) £497 (35/62)
  Britain average 21% 52% £539

 




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