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Expert ‘positive by October we will be looking back at most of the pandemic’

by LLB staff reporter
27th Jul 21 9:56 am

Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London has said he is “positive” that by “September or October” we will be looking back at most of the pandemic.

He stressed that “caution” is still required following Freedom Day on 19 July in England, and the Sage member warned that impact of unlocking will not bee known for “several more weeks.”

Speaking on the BBC’s Today programme, Professor Ferguson said, “We need to remain cautious, especially with the potential increase in contact rates again as the weather becomes less fine and schools return.

“We’re not completely out of the woods, but the equation has fundamentally changed.

“The effect of vaccines is hugely reducing the risk of hospitalisations and death. And I’m positive that by late September or October time we will be looking back at most of the pandemic.

“We will have Covid with us, we will still have people dying from Covid, but we’ll have put the bulk of the pandemic behind us.”

Dr Mike Tildesley is a member of the government’s Scientific Pandemic Influenza Modelling group also said he is “cautiously optimistic.”

Speaking to BBC Radio 4’s Today programme he said, “Well, I mean the first thing obviously before I start is it is good news.

“Any situation where cases are falling clearly is good news. So, I’ll say that up front before I start caveats.”

But warned with schools now breaking up for summer, children will not be doing their twice-weekly tests.

Dr Tildesley said, “I think what we need to think about, though, is that there has been a change recently and I think the big one is that in a lot of parts of the country schools have now closed for the summer.

“Now, of course, because of that, what that means is – secondary school children have been doing lateral flow tests twice a week for quite a long period of time and we know at the moment cases are slightly higher in younger people, because schools have now broken up, it may be that part of the reason cases have dropped somewhat is that we’re not detecting as many cases in younger people now.”

 

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