Labour have a 14pt voting intention lead over the Conservative Party, according to the latest polling from Savanta.
The poll, conducted over the weekend (14-16 April), shows Labour on 45% of the vote and the Conservatives on 31%, the former seeing no change from the previous week, and the latter up two points.
The poll also assesses which of the two party leaders would make the best Prime Minister. Rishi Sunak loses his lead over Keir Starmer after three consecutive polls (37% Sunak vs 37% Starmer). Starmer has tied Sunak previously (37% apiece, December) but hasn’t led Savanta’s best PM rating since Liz Truss was Prime Minister.
Starmer’s net favourability, however, has decreased whilst Sunak’s has increased, with Starmer down three points to -4, and Sunak up one point to -7%.
Commenting on the findings, Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “After weeks of having some of the polling industry’s narrowest Labour leads, the rest of finally caught up and most pollsters are now showing Laboru leads in the mid-low teens. Industry-wide, that does represent a shift away from Labour towards the Conservatives and does appear driven by Conservative-leaning undecided voters heading back to Rishi Sunak’s party.”
“While any narrative of Savanta (and a few others) leading the way, waiting for the rest of catch up, is somewhat tongue-in-cheek, it does present a more assured picture of the state of play as we head towards local elections. Sunak’s Conservatives will inevotably suffer losses on May 4, but if they can keep the national equivalent vote share gap between themselves and Labour to 10 points or less, they’ll chalk that up as a win and a sign that they’re moving in the right direction.”
“I’ve been wrong before, but my hunch is that in the early hours of May 5, it’ll be Labour’s spinners doing the most work, trying to reinforce the positives after a potentially underwhelming night.”