Keir Starmer has a 28pt lead over Liz Truss regading who would make the best Prime Minister, according to the latest polling from Savanta ComRes.
The lead, with Starmer on 48% and Truss on 20%, represents the largest lead seen in the Best PM tracker since Savanta ComRes started tracking in May 2020. The previous largest lead was Boris Johnson’s 24pt lead over Keir Starmer in May 2021.
Starmer’s rating of 48%, an 11pt rise from last month, is his highest ever figure (previous high 41%, July 2022), and Truss’ score of 20% is a drop of 15pts since September and lower than Boris Johnson ever achieved (previous low for a Conservative leader 26%, July 2022).
This comes alongside a 30pt voting intention lead for Labour, the largest in Savanta ComRes history. Labour, on 52%, represents the largest ever recorded Labour vote share (since last week, where 51% broke the previous record of 50%, which we recorded just after Labour conference), and the Conservatives are on 22%, the lowest vote share recorded for the party since May 2019 (where the poll also showed the Brexit Party on 20%).
Before removing undecided voters into the headline voting intention, this poll shows that just 46% of 2019 Conservative voters plan to vote Conservative again if an election were tomorrow, with a record 25% saying they’d switch directly to Labour, and a further 15% saying they are undecided.
Labour, by contrast, is retaining 92% of its 2019 vote in this poll.
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta ComRes said, “The trifecta of a large voting intention lead, polling ahead of the Conservatives on economic competence, and Starmer streets ahead of Truss regarding which would make the best Prime Minister is, quite simply, enough to wrap up an election.
“These latest figures, and the sheer size of Starmer and Labour’s lead, puts the Conservatives not only at risk of losing an election, but of a total wipeout.”
“So the question remains ‘can Liz Truss recover?’. It’s impossible at the moment to see how.
“There is still, theoretically, a long way to go before an election, but Truss’ credibility feels irrevocably damaged, and unless the economy makes a miraculous recovery – which I’m not sure she’d even get the credit for, given her new Chancellor’s recent interventions – it’s very hard to see what tools Truss has at her disposal to garner enough public approval to even lead the Conservatives to a more modest election defeat, let alone a victory.”