Putin’s offensive is looking ‘less likely over the coming weeks’ as they are too stretched

The Russian Army are stretched along the entire frontline so Vladimir Putin’s offensive is looking “less likely.”

On Monday Putin ordered Russia’s Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu that he has until “early October” to “stop Ukrainian counteroffensive.”

Shoigu was also ordered to “improve the situation on the frontlines” by beefing up troops “to regain the initiative” to capture a larger city.

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The British Ministry of Defence (MoD) said in their intelligence update, “Since mid-September 2023, Russia has highly likely committed elements of its new 25th Combined Arms Army (25 CAA) to begin action for the first time.

“The formation started moving into Ukraine from late August 2023.”

Data shows units of two manoeuvre components of the 25th Artillery Army, the 67th Motorized Rifle Division and the 164th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade.

They are fighting at the front in the sector west of Sieverodonetsk and Kreminna, on the border of Donetsk and Luhansk regions eastern Ukraine.

“Since the start of the invasion, Russia has only rarely maintained an uncommitted army-size grouping which could potentially form the basis of a major new offensive thrust.

The MoD added, “With 25 CAA apparently being deployed piecemeal to reinforce the over-stretched line, a concerted new Russian offensive is less likely over the coming weeks.”

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) cited a Kremlin “insider” that Putin was Russian forces to launch a serious offensive against Ukraine’s larger cities such as Kherson, Odessa, Kharkiv, or Dnepropetrovsk.

The insider cited the Telegram channel called Kremlin Secrets that Putin has ordered Shoigu “to improve the situation on the frontlines, stop Ukrainian counteroffensives, and have Russian forces regain the initiative to launch an offensive operation against a larger city.”

The ISW previously said in a statement, “observed instances in which [Russia‘s ministry of defense], fearing the imminent loss of Putin’s favor, intensified its efforts to purge commanders who offered honest but negative views and advice and pursued unachievable military objectives at the expense of Russian forces.”