Labour’s odds slashed to 1/5 from 2/9 to win majority with Tory vote split, according to odds from AltIndex
Next general election – overall majority
Labour majority 1/5 (was 2/9)
No overall majority 15/4
Conservative majority 11/1 (was 10/1)
Next general election – most seats
Labour 1/10
Conservative 6/1
Reform UK 66/1
Liberal Democrats 100/1
Next general election – date
October-December 2024 4/7
April-June 2024 6/4
July-September 2024 8/1
2025 or later 12/1
January-March 2024 25/1
AltIndex spokesperson said, “Reform UK have just handed Labour a huge boost in their hopes of winning a majority at the next general election, according to the latest betting odds.
“Labour’s odds of winning a majority have improved to 1/5 from 2/9, increasing by two percent to a 83% implied probability after Reform announced that they will stand a candidate in every seat which may split the Conservative’s voter base.
“The Tories have drifted to 11/1 from 10/1 to retain their majority and 6/1 to be the party that wins the most seats when the country heads to the polls.”
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