Labour’s lead over the Conservative Party rebounds to 19 points

Labour’s lead over the Conservative Party rebounds to 19 points, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta.

The poll, conducted over the weekend of Conservative Party conference, sees Labour on 46% of the vote, a two-point increase from the week before, and the Conservatives on 27%, down by three points.

While this presents a five-point change from last week, it is more in-line with the poll from a fortnight ago, showing a 20-point lead, and suggesting last week’s may have been an outlier.

This poll continues to outline the scale of the challenge Rishi Sunak has to win back voters that appear to have been lost to Labour. Just 57% of 2019 Conservative voters say that they’d vote Conservative tomorrow, with 16% choosing to vote Labour, 8% switching to Reform UK and 6% indicating they’d vote Liberal Democrat.

One in nine (11%) 2019 Conservative voters say they’re undecided, and even if all of those voted Conservative, their deficit would remain around 14 points.

Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “Rishi Sunak’s pitch to voters at Conservative conference appears to be an attempt to shore up its base, and given another set of poor polling numbers, perhaps this is the best strategy available to him.”

“While a lot can change ahead of the next election, this and other polls outlines the scale of Sunak’s challenge. But if he can close the gap, little-by-little, starting with policies that are likely to appeal to a Conservative base that may be fatigued by the party after 13 years of government, then perhaps there will be enough momentum to mount an election challenge to a Labour party that are still not hugely appealing to the electorate.”