Rishi Sunak is odds-on at 4/6 to be replaced as Tory leader next year with pressure continuing to grow after Robert Jenrick quit over Immigration Bill.
Odds on Nigel Farage to be the next Tory leader continue to shorten and have more than halved to 14/1, from 35/1 when he first appeared on I’m A Celebrity… Get Me Out of Here.
Kemi Badenoch is the 11/4 favourite to replace Sunak, with former Home Secretary Suella Braverman now 5/1 and James Cleverly 11/1.
The next general election is odds-on at 10/11 to take place between October-December and Labour are 1/4 to win a majority at the next general election, with the Tories 8/1 outsiders.
Betfair Exchange: Year Rishi Sunak will be replaced as Conservative leader
2024: 4/6
2025 or later: 5/4
2023: 20/1
Betfair Exchange: Next Conservative leader
Kemi Badenoch: 11/4
Suella Braverman: 5/1
Penny Mordaunt: 5/1
James Cleverly: 11/2
David Cameron: 19/2
Nigel Farage 14/1 (was 35/1 when I’m A Celebrity… Get Me Out of Here started)
Boris Johnson: 14/1
Jeremy Hunt: 40/1
Betfair Exchange: When will the next general election take place?
2023: 999/1
January-March 2024: 12/1
April-June 2024: 13/5
July-September: 7/1
October-December: 10/11
2025 or later: 11/1
Betfair Exchange: Next general election – overall majority
Labour majority: 1/4
No overall majority: 7/2
Conservative majority: 8/1
Betfair Spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “The pressure is continuing to grow on Rishi Sunak following the resignation of his immigration minister Robert Jenrick.
“Westminster was afoot with secret conversations as the Tory party looks on the verge of splitting with reports suggesting many MPs want the party to move further to the right in order to get the immigration bill through.
“Since the start of I’m A Celebrity… Get Me Out of Here, Nigel Farage’s odds to take over as Tory leader have shortened significantly, he’s been backed into 14/1 from 35/1.
“Kemi Badenoch is the current 11/4 favourite to replace the under-pressure PM, with Suella Braverman 5/1 alongside Penny Mordaunt and James Cleverly following closely behind at 11/2.
“While reports suggest we could see an election as early as May next year, late autumn looks more likely with the next election to take place October-December still odds on at 10/11.
“Labour are the overwhelming favourites to win an overall majority at 1/4, with Sunak’s party 8/1 outsiders to retain power.”
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