Labour’s lead over the Conservative Party stands at 18 points, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta.
The poll, conducted over the last weekend (10-12 November), sees Labour on 46% of the vote, up one point from the week before, and the Conservatives on 28%, down by one point in the same period.
Savanta’s last seven polls have all seen Labour leads between 16 and 19 points, with week-on-week change always well within the statistical margin of error and, if replicated at a General Election, would point to a large Labour majority.
This poll continues to outline the scale of the challenge Rishi Sunak’s government has to win back voters that appear to have been lost to Labour. Just 57% of 2019 Conservative voters say that they’d vote Conservative tomorrow, with 16% choosing to vote Labour, 10% switching to Reform UK and 4% indicating they’d vote Liberal Democrat.
One in nine (11%) 2019 Conservative voters say they’re undecided, and even if all of those voted Conservative, their deficit would remain around 13 points.
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “Much of the noise in Westminster in the last week, namely around Suella Braverman and the impact her words and actions may have Rishi Sunak’s leadership, appear to have had very little impact on voting, where the strength – or lack thereof – of feeling towards the Conservatives feels very ingrained.
“Sacking Braverman amid a reshuffle this week is unlikely to greatly impact things either.”
“The strategy, though, from No.10 feels increasingly confused and directionless. Having spent some of party conference period echoing Braverman-esque rhetoric and appealing to the Conservative base, the government appear to have done something of an about-turn, removing a Home Secretary who was appearing more and more popular among Conservative voters and sort-of-replacing her with an ex-Prime Minister in David Cameron who is unlikely to appeal to that sub-section of supporters in the same way.”