Ipsos MORI’s Scottish Political Monitor, run in partnership with STV News, finds the highest level of support for independence yet recorded among the Scottish public.
Scottish independence
- Among those who would be likely to vote in an independence referendum, 58% say they would vote Yes while 42% would vote No.
- Almost two thirds (64%) of Scots say that the UK Government should allow another independence referendum to be held within the next five years if the SNP wins a majority of seats in the 2021 Scottish Parliament elections – while a third (34%) say that the UK Government should not allow this.
Scottish Parliament voting intention
The SNP currently has a very strong lead in voting intention for both constituency and list votes in next May’s Scottish Parliament elections, with the Conservatives in second place and Labour faring worse in third.
Headline Scottish Parliament voting intention figures for the constituency vote are:
- SNP: 58%
- Scottish Conservatives: 19%
- Scottish Labour: 13%
- Scottish Liberal Democrats: 8%
- Other: 2%
Headline Scottish Parliament voting intention figures for the regional vote are:
- SNP: 47%
- Scottish Conservatives: 19%
- Scottish Labour: 13%
- Scottish Green Party: 9%
- Scottish Liberal Democrats: 8%
- Other: 3%
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