The odds of the Prime Minister Boris Johnson are 11/10 to leave office in 2022 with the Chancellor Rishi Sunak favourite candidate to take the helm.
The Liberal Democrats have now paid money to promote the Mirror’s story showing the image of Tory aides holding a “raucous” party during lockdown last year.
Pressure is mounting on Johnson and the Conservatives as Lib Dems become odds-on favourites at 4/6 to win tomorrow’s North Shropshire by-election, a seat that has only ever been Tory since its inception in 1983.
Betfair’s odds for Johnson are 11/10 to leave office in 2022, two years before the next General Election – he is 6/5 (43%) to not be Prime Minister by the time of the 2022 Tory conference.
The Chancellor, Rishi Sunak is favourite to be next Tory leader at 12/5, followed by Liz Truss at 9/2.
Betfair Exchange – North Shropshire by-election
Liberal Democrats: 4/6
Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson exit date
2024 or later: 13/8
Betfair Exchange – Boris Johnson PM for 2022 Conservative Conference?
Yes: 5/7 (57%)
No: 6/5 (43%)
Betfair Exchange – Next Conservative leader after Boris Johnson
Rishi Sunak 12/5
Liz Truss 9/2
Michael Gove 9/1
Jeremy Hunt 10/1
Sajid Javid 20/1
Tom Tugendhat 20/1
Ben Wallace 24/1
Priti Patel 25/1
Betfair Exchange – Next General Election
No overall majority: Evens
Conservative majority: 13/8
Labour majority: 5/1
Betfair Spokesperson, Sam Rosbottom said, “After a tough 10 days for the Tories, Betfair Exchange’s political punters have spoken and they now believe the pressure on the PM will ratchet up again as the previously safe North Shropshire seat becomes odds-on at 4/6 to turn yellow in next weeks’ by-election.
“In the past week, the odds for Boris Johnson to leave office this year have tumbled from 149/1 to just 22/1, with a better chance of the PM leaving office before the end of 2021 than ever. He is also 11/10 to leave in 2022, two years before the next General Election.
“Speculation as to who will replace Johnson is increasing, with Chancellor Rishi Sunak remaining the 12/5 favourite, ahead of Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, who is 9/2.”