The Labour Party’s lead over the Conservatives has dropped by six points, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta for The Telegraph.
The poll, conducted earlier this week (5-7 April), sees the Labour Party on 42% of the vote share, with the Conservatives on 27%, a 15-point lead. Reform UK has seen a two-point drop (10%) and the Greens have recorded a small increase to 4%.
This is Labour’s lowest lead over the Conservatives since mid-February 2024. Savanta’s polling so far in 2024 has shown Labour leads of 19, 17, 14, 19, 12, 14, 18, 17, 18, 18, 20, 21 and now 15 points.
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “It has been a relatively quiet period in Westminster, with the government looking sure-footed on the main issue of the day, the Israel-Gaza conflict.
“When the Conservatives aren’t battling rolling headlines of scandal and disunity, that will almost certainly be helping them in the eyes of the electorate.”
“This is only one poll, which may be an outlier and therefore taken with caution. A 15-point lead for Labour would simply be the difference between an electoral battering and an absolute wipeout for the Conservatives.
“That being said, these results will likely hearten Rishi Sunak weeks ahead from crucial local elections.”
If these results were replicated at a General Election, according to seat-modelling site Electoral Calculus, Labour would be on course for a majority of 188.
Leave a Comment