Ahead of today’s Budget announcement, please see below the latest odds surrounding the next general election, with Labour huge 1/4 favourites to win a majority.
The odds also suggest November is the most likely month for a general election to be held at 6/4, while the much talked May month is 7/2.
Betfair Exchange – Next General Election – Overall Majority
Labour Majority 1/4
No Overall Majority 6/1
Conservative Majority 16/1
Betfair Exchange – Next General Election – Most seats
Labour 1/7
Conservative 15/2
Reform UK 79/1
Lib Dems 879/1
Betfair Exchange – Next General Election – How many seats will the Conservatives lose?
No losses 169/1
1-50 seat losses 39/1
51-100 seat losses 25/1
101-150 seat losses 6/1
151-200 seat losses 13/5
201 or more seat losses 4/5
What month will the next General Election take place?
April 74/1
May 7/2
June 64/1
July 69/1
August 79/1
September 49/1
October 13/5
November 6/4
December 13/1
2025 or later 12/1
Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: “It’s one-way traffic on the betting markets for the next General Election, a Labour majority has been backed into 1/4 despite Chancellor Jeremy Hunt’s announcement of a cut to national insurance.
“Punters are predicting what some Tory rebels have called ‘an annihilation’ at the next election, with 201 or more seat losses being heavily backed into 4/5.
“While some Labour commentators have called on Rishi Sunak to call an election in May, it’s still November that punters favour at 6/1. May has seen some backing though and isn’t too far off at 7/2.”
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