Home Business News Why Coca-Cola (KO) could easily surge 10% in months to come

Why Coca-Cola (KO) could easily surge 10% in months to come

5th Jun 24 9:10 am

Beverage industry stalwart Coca-Cola has had a bullish 2024 to date, registering gains of 5.20% year-to-date.

Tradingbiz analyst Rahul Nambiampurath believes that strong consumer demand, effective cost management, and strategic product diversification are some of the reasons for the growth in share prices.

“Recent acquisitions and partnerships have bolstered Coca-Cola’s market position. The acquisition of a major stake in BodyArmor has strengthened its position in the sports drink market.

At the same time, partnerships with popular fast-food chains like In-N-Out Burger, Five Guys, and more have enhanced its distribution network,” mentions Rahul.

Financial insights leading to the bullishness

Rahul believes that Coca-Cola’s robust financial performance in Q1 2024, with net revenues increasing by 3% to $11.3 billion and a 7% growth in comparable EPS, sets a solid foundation for future growth.

Here are some of the additional insights specific to the Q1 report and the Q2 guidance:

  • Organic revenues grew by 11%, driven by a 13% growth in price/mix, despite a 2% decline in concentrate sales.
  • EPS increased by 3% to $0.74.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) grew 7% to $0.72 despite a 9-point currency headwind.
  • The operating margin was 18.9%, down from 30.7% the previous year. This decline was due to charges related to the remeasurement of contingent consideration liability, a non-cash impairment charge for the BODYARMOR trademark, and currency headwinds.
  • The comparable operating margin (non-GAAP) increased to 32.4% from 31.8%.
  • Cash flow from operations was $528 million, an increase of $368 million compared to the previous year, driven by strong business performance and working capital initiatives.
  • Coca-Cola has provided an optimistic outlook for Q2 2024. The company projects a 10% increase in revenue, driven by seasonal demand and new product launches. It expects EPS to rise to $0.84.

Rahul adds that despite some tepid numbers, such as the decline in operating margin due to specific charges, these figures indicate underlying strength in Coca-Cola’s business model. The robust growth in organic revenues and comparable EPS showcases the company’s ability to manage costs effectively and adapt pricing strategies amid currency headwinds.

Does technical analysis confirm the bullishness?

The daily chart of Coca-Cola indicates bullishness. Notice how the price, currently at $62.93, is about to break out of the upper trendline of the ascending triangle pattern.

Per Rahul’s analysis, a surge above $64 and then $65 could push KO towards $68.59 and then $71.89 due to the lack of discernible short-term resistance levels.

Coca-Cola’s bullish daily chart: TradingView

This analysis is in line with what Chris Graja, the analyst at Argus Research, expects from Coca-Cola. He has placed a “Buy” rating on KO, with a potential upside of $16.47%.

Popular firm Barclays also maintains a Buy rating with a potential upside of 11.34%, which is in line with Rahul’s analysis.

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