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Scientists warns daily deaths could hit 240 to 690 within a week

by Mark Channer LLB Journalist
16th Oct 20 10:03 am

Evidence presented to government scientists shows that by 26 October the daily death toll is expected to reach 240 to 690.

The Medical Research Council (MRC) biostatistics unit at Cambridge University also said that around 47,000 coronavirus infections are occurring daily across England.

MRC published the new predictions on 12 October to show how fast the virus is spreading across England.

In under seven days the scientists warn that a “substantial proportion” of cases will be asymptomatic, and that cases are doubling in under a week.

The MRC unit published a report on October 12, saying, “Our current estimate of the number of infections occurring each day across England is 47,000.

“We predict that the number of deaths each day is likely to be between 240 and 690 on October 26.

The MRC said that the daily number of infections was in the range of 28,900 to 74, 900 per day, and the best estimate being 47,000.

The estimated growth rate for England is 0.09 each day.

The MRC said, “This means that the number of infections grows by 9% each day and it translates into a doubling in number in under one week.

“The central estimates for the number of new infections is particularly high in the North West and the North East and Yorkshire (17,600 and 10,700 infections per day, respectively), followed by London and the Midlands (5,450 and 5,720, respectively).

“Note that a substantial proportion of these daily infections will be asymptomatic.”

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