Ipsos MORI’s Scottish Political Monitor, run in partnership with STV News, finds support for the SNP remains at very high levels ahead of the May 2021 Scottish Parliament elections.
However, support for Scottish independence has fallen since last November – by four percentage points.
The First Minister’s satisfaction ratings have also dropped since last October, although they remain the highest of any of the party leaders.
- 52% say they are likely to vote for the SNP in the constituency vote, while 23% will vote for the Scottish Conservatives and 15% for Scottish Labour;
- 52% would vote Yes in an independence referendum, slipping slightly from 56% in November – while 48% would vote No;
- Scottish independence is seen as the most important issue in helping people decide which party to vote for (44%), followed by education (32%), healthcare/ NHS (25%) and coronavirus (20%).
- Over a third of Scots (36%) say the Holyrood inquiry into the Scottish Government’s handling of the accusations against Alex Salmond has made them less favourable towards the SNP, although most (58%) say it has made no difference to their view of the party.