The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has voted to hold interest rates at 4.25%.
The MPC voted 6 to 3 in favour of leaving rates unchanged, with 3 members preferring to cut rates to 4.0%.
The market was expecting rates to remain unchanged.
Nicholas Hyett, Investment Manager at Wealth Club said, “The Bank of England’s goal over the last two years has been to slowly bring down inflation without crashing the economy – achieving a so-called soft landing, that’s not easy at the best of times let alone when the economic data is unreliable.
Official data suggests the Bank has so far done a pretty good job, with the UK labour market holding up well. The problem is that data has never been more unreliable, and elsewhere there are signs of strain. Just this morning recruiter Hays said that it is experiencing significant weakness, with a 13% revenue fall in UK & Ireland as hiring for permanent positions softens.
Inflation numbers too are subject to uncertainty, and had to be restated last month after an error in the data. Conflict in the Middle East risks higher energy prices potentially pushing inflation higher – though calling the course of events there is almost certainly a mugs game, and the Bank has said that under current conditions it expects inflation to remain broadly at current levels for the rest of the year.
The risk is that all the uncertainty leaves the Bank paralysed, with rates stuck at their current level. With uncertain data, policy setters will need a really compelling reason to hike or cut interest rates and that could result in default driven decisions.”
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