Labour’s lead over the Conservative Party stands at 16pts, according to the latest voting intention poll from Savanta.
The poll, conducted over the last weekend (5-7 May) following the local elections, sees Labour on 46% of the vote, up two points from the week before, and the Conservatives on 30%, down one.
This movement, well within the statistical margin of error, extends Labour’s lead over the Conservatives from 13pts to 16pts, the largest Labour lead recorded in a Savanta poll since the beginning of April.
The Liberal Democrats, despite a strong local elections performance, remain on 9% in this national opinion poll.
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta said, “Off the back of the local elections, there was seemingly a narrative that the results indicated Labour was not on course for a majority at the next General Election.
“This narrative felt wrong to me, seemingly misunderstanding the purpose of projections such as National Equivalent Vote, and using them to cook up a false reading of the current state of play.”
“Putting Savanta’s latest figures into Electoral Calculus, estimates Labour to be on course for a majority of 178, yet the dominant narrative is that Labour aren’t doing as well and Keir Starmer is being asked about coalition partners.
“Yes, things can change, and I do believe the lead will narrow, but polls continue to imply that we’re a very long way from hung parliament territory at the moment.”