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US dollar reacts to US presidential debate and upcoming data

28th Jun 24 11:38 am

The US dollar recorded some volatility as traders reacted to the US presidential debate between President Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

The debate tilted market expectations toward a Trump win, contributing to uncertainty. The euro-dollar pair could also remain exposed to political developments in France.

US Treasury yields saw a slight uptick as markets awaited critical inflation data and assessed the implications of the presidential debate. Two-year yields remain above the 4.70% mark, and 10-year yields were around the 4.3% level, although yields were relatively lower for June overall, but could remain exposed to political developments.

Attention now turns to todayโ€™s data. Key to the monetary policy direction is the May PCE price index which is expected to show a 0.1% increase on a monthly basis and an annual rate of 2.6%. While markets continue to see two interest rate cuts this year, lower-than-expected PCE data could increase the odds of an accommodative policy.

The greenback also maintained its strength against the Japanese yen, which tumbled to a 38-year low, hitting the 161-yen level, increasing speculation about possible intervention by Japanese authorities.

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