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Europeans expect property prices to continue increasing over the next year

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People in Europe expect property prices to continue rising over the next 12 months, according to new ING research.

The finding is from Are house prices too big a stretch? – part of the seventh annual ING International Survey on homes and mortgages.

Wrong track

Almost two-thirds (63%) in Europe expect house prices to rise over the next year. Half (53%) of respondents believe their country is on the wrong track with housing, up from 45 per cent in 2017, suggesting that many are becoming frustrated. (See table below for full country breakdown).

The portion who think their local housing market is on the wrong track has increased in the vast majority of countries. Only a quarter (25%) of Europeans say housing is on the right track in their country.

High prices

Commonly, property prices are linked to and influenced by local market conditions. Yet it’s clear that many in Europe feel that house prices where they live are too high.

The majority (57%) believe that housing is expensive, with a quarter (25%) finding it difficult to pay their rent or mortgage each month. Renters are more likely than home owners to characterise property in their country as expensive (62% vs 55%) or unfair (32% vs 22%).

Over the last decade, interest rates have been low, which has helped increase property prices but made it harder for newcomers to enter the housing market. Now, nearly three-quarters (72%) in Europe believe it is difficult for first-time buyers to get on the property ladder.

Given up

Over a third (35%) of non-home owners in Europe don’t expect to ever own a house. The largest shares who say this are in Germany (45%), Italy (44%) and the UK (41%).

And the study reveals that only one in 10 (9%) now expects to own a first home by the time he or she turns 30. By comparison, 60 per cent of those who already own a property bought before age 30.

People cite many reasons for not being able to buy, but most point to issues around affordability. Over half (56%) of Europeans blame it on insufficient incomes, one in five (19%) anticipate prices will stay too high, and 16 per cent indicate a lack of long-term job security.

Jessica Exton, behavioural scientist at ING, said: “Getting a foot on the property ladder appears just as important as it has ever been, both emotionally and financially. But many who do not own expect that home ownership will happen at a later age than for those already settled. While a sizeable minority think they will never have a place to call their own. It is therefore not surprising a majority consider housing to be on the wrong track  an opinion that is shared across the 15 countries surveyed, despite economic and cultural differences.

“Whether old or young, owner or not, there is recognition that owning a property is now more difficult than in the past and likely to occur later in life. Affordability is the main hurdle but the next most common characteristic describing housing markets is that they are unfair. This may be cause for a re-think on how we organise property in our society.”




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